2024 Presidential Election Outlook. Follow the underlying metrics and trends influencing the race for the white house in the 2024 u.s. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
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